"The party has been hijacked," says one GOP
insider.
The Republican Party has added a new twist to its renowned blame games. Its
Washington-centric establishment is saying the race for the 2016 presidential
nominee is all but over before the voting starts.
As
national
news
organizations
are reporting just days before Iowa caucuses, it looks like either Donald Trump
will mount a successful hostile takeover of the GOP, or the senator most
despised by its establishment, Ted Cruz, will grab the nomination. That
realization has prompted a growing chorus of GOP strategists and party insiders
to chime in with last-minute advice to avoid what others say is inevitable, or
simply panic.
“Whoever is not named Trump and not named Cruz that looks strong out of both
Iowa and New Hampshire, we should consolidate around,” Henry Barbour, a
Mississippi-based strategist
told the
New
York Times, in a piece this week emphasizing time is running out for a
“credible alternative.” His uncle is ex-RNC chair and former Mississippi Gov.
Haley Barbour.
“This whole thing is a disaster,” Curt Anderson, ex-RNC political director
and veteran operative,
told
Politico.com in a piece that asked who let Trump get this far. “I feel the party
has been hijacked,”
said
RNC member Holland Redfield. “It will be a major internal fight.”
“All of the hand-wringing and alarm-sounding within the Republican
establishment is sound and fury signifying nothing,” Chris Cizilla, the
Washington Post’s top handicapper
wrote
Wednesday. “The train has left the station. The boat has left the dock. The
genie is out of the bottle. Pandora’s box is open.”
And what a box it is! Before Trump hijacked the headlines by trying to bully
Fox News into dumping Megyn Kelly as a moderator for Thursday night's debate,
and then walked away because he didn’t get his way (his press statement
said,
“this takes guts”), he was drawing the worst GOP publicity hounds.
In recent
days, that’s included
Sarah
Palin,
Jerry
Falwell. Jr., Iowa Sen.
Chuck
Grassley and
Donald
Rumsfeld.
“I see someone who has touched a nerve with our country,” Rumsfeld
said
of Trump. But the one-two punch of Palin’s and Grassley’s support is seen as
influential among Iowa Republicans, who are disproportionately right-wing and
evangelical. That’s why Mike Huckabee won Iowa in 2008 and Rick Santorum won in
2012.
No matter the reason, the finger-pointing has begun. Republicans who tried to
ignite a stop-Trump movement
told
Politico that the super PACS and donors that lined up behind their more
mainsteam candidates—Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, John Kasich, Chris Christie—misspent
millions by slamming each other and not attacking Trump or Cruz. “It’s not just
campaigns that are coming under fire—it’s also donors, many of whom were
presented with the opportunity to go after Trump but didn’t pull the trigger,”
Politico
wrote.
“Much frustration has been directed at the RNC, which some believe has been
pushed around by the party’s surprise poll-leader.”
Trump’s Fox News Gambit
Going into the week before the Iowa caucuses, polls showed the dark mood of
Republicans favors Trump and Cruz. The base is in a “sour” mood,
the
Post reported,
although that’s too genteel. Ninety percent say the country is on a wrong track.
Eighty percent don’t like the way the federal government works. Sixty percent
say people like them are losing influence in America. Forty percent say they are
“angry” about all of this—hence Trump’s standing: he has the support of 37
percent or so of likely GOP primary voters and has been leading for
months.
Trump yet again showed how he can uniquely manipulate the media by reviving
his fight with Fox News’ anchor Megyn Kelly. He deliberately picked a fight with
her the way he picks fights with protesters at his rallies. The
timeline
of this latest attention-grabbing gambit saw Trump threaten to pull out of
Thursday’s TV debate unless Fox pulled Kelly from one of three moderator slots.
But Fox did not budge, forcing Trump to follow through on his threat or look
weak—a cardinal sin for him.
The great negotiator might have pulled a dumb move on the eve of what was
lining up to be the biggest night of his life—winning the Iowa caucuses to begin
his hostile takeover of the GOP. As he will see, politics abhors a vacuum and he
just gave Cruz, who’s slightly trailing, and the posse of other mainstream
candidates more airtime to attack and make their case. Undecided Republicans
will see other choices without Trump hogging the limelight. Whether that’s a
masterful move by the master negotiator remains to be seen. The
Washington
Post Wednesday
reported
that Trump supporters are parroting his lines that Kelly is biased and Fox can’t
be trusted.
What’s most notable about this latest made-for-media dustup is what it
reveals about Trump’s character—how thin-skinned he is when faced with critics
who don’t fawn over him. On Tuesday night, Trump held a rare press conference
and
clashed
with reporters who repeatedly asked him to respond to charges that he should not
be endorsed by evangelicals because of his past marital infidelities. Come
Wednesday, the
Times’ campaign blog
speculated
that Trump knows he will be attacked for past pro-choice stances and would not
be able to monopolize the debate coverage by attending. The
Times also
blogged that his campaign was
walking
back remarks about not attending the debate.
As the
Boston Globe noted,
“Cruz continues to work on his Iowa ground game while Trump continues to fight
with the media.”
Not Republican, But Authoritarian
Whether he shows up or not, what the country is witnessing is not just a
candidate whose uncanny ability to provoke and manipulate the press has upended
previous rules of presidential campaigns, rendering mainstream competition all
but irrelevant. Voters are also witnessing what an extreme authoritarian looks
like and how he operates. That searing conclusion
comes
from former Nixon White House counsel John Dean, who has written many books
about political authoritarians and their rise in the Republican Party.
“Trump, after decades in the glare of media attention, instinctively
understands exactly how to manipulate the fourth estate better than any
political figure in modern America,” he recently
wrote.
“By being himself, he is taking the country to school on how to dominate public
attention with his inflammatory rhetoric, which he intuitively employs through
unfiltered social media.”
Dean wrote that people who know Trump say he’s not behaving any differently
on the campaign trail than he does in his business life. “I spoke with an
attorney who has been involved in a number of real estate disputes with Trump,
over many years, who said Trump acts in a very similar fashion in his business
dealings. He insults and belittles opponents, and is an extremely sore loser,
whose standard operating procedure is to try to bully and bend the rules his
way.”
“We are going to know a lot more about authoritarian politics when the 2016
presidential race is completed,” Dean said, referring not just to Trump but also
to the vast numbers of Americans who are drawn to following extreme
authoritarians. What that says about the fate of the modern Republican Party
also remains to be seen, but you can be sure that its mainstream leaders see the
writing on the wall and are finding it disconcerting.
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