A conservative by any other name would still be confused about where they fall on the ideological spectrum in the Trump era.
About the Author
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McKay Coppins is a staff writer at
The Atlantic, and author of
The Wilderness, a book about the battle over the future of the Republican Party.
These are confusing times to be a Republican.
For
the past several decades, members of the GOP have mapped the
ideological range found within their party onto a fairly straightforward
spectrum—one that runs from “moderate” to “conservative.” The
formulation was simplistic, of course, but it provided a useful
shorthand in assessing politicians, and in explaining one’s own
political orientation.
A small-government culture warrior in
Arizona would be situated on the far-right end of the spectrum; a
pro-choice Chamber of Commerce type in Massachusetts might place himself
on the other end. And across the country, there were millions of
people—from officeholders to ordinary Republican voters—who identified
somewhere between those two poles.
But with the rise of Donald
Trump—and his spectrum-bending brand of populist nationalism—many
longtime Republicans are now struggling to figure out where they fit in
this fast-shifting philosophical landscape. In recent weeks, two
prominent Republicans have told me they are sincerely struggling to
explain where they fall on the ideological spectrum these days. It’s not
that they’ve changed their beliefs; it’s that the old taxonomy has
become incoherent.
For
example, does being an outspoken Trump critic make you a “moderate”
RINO? Does it matter whether you’re criticizing him for an overly
austere healthcare bill, or for reckless infrastructure spending plan?
And who owns the “far right” now—is it “constitutional conservatives”
like Ted Cruz, or “alt-right” white supremacists like Richard Spencer?
When
I raised these questions on a Twitter earlier this week, I was swamped
with hundreds of responses and dozens of emails from longtime
Republicans who described feeling like they are lost inside their own
homes.
Some, like Jordan Team from Washington, D.C., related how
their attempts at explaining their personal politics have devolved into a
kind of absurdist comedy:
I've always identified as a more moderate R - even "establishment
Republican", if you will. I usually always use "moderate" or
"Establishment" when saying I'm a Republican to separate myself from
more hard-line Tea Party Freedom Caucus conservatives.
These days, however, I feel like it requires even further explanation
to separate myself from the nationalism/populism that Trump & team
espouse, since they're all now technically Republicans. Usually it's
something super catchy & brief along the lines of: "I'm a moderate
Republican - or at least, have been one, not really sure that that means
anymore - but I don't support Trump or populism - I'm traditionally
conservative" And even that doesn't always get the point across. I
think the easiest when trying to have a conversation with someone is a
two step process. Step 1: "I'm a Republican but don't like Trump," and
then if the convo keeps going/they know politics/they're interested,
there's step 2: "I'm more moderate/establishment than Tea Party/Freedom
Caucus".
Other people, meanwhile, shared more tragic
testimonials. “I feel honestly like a part of my identity was stolen,”
wrote Alycia Kuehne, a conservative Christian from Dallas, Texas.But
virtually everyone who wrote to me shared a common complaint: The
traditional “Left ↔ Right” spectrum used to describe and categorize
Republicans has become obsolete in the age of Trump. The question now is
what to replace it with.
To provoke interesting answers, I asked
people who wrote to me to imagine the Republican voter who is furthest
from themselves—be it ideologically, philosophically, or
attitudinally—and then to answer the question: What is the most
meaningful difference between you and that person?
The proposed
spectrums that emerged from their responses—some of which I’ve included
below—are not meant to be peer-reviewed by political scientists. But
they offer new, and potentially more useful, ways to map the emerging
fault lines that now divide the American right.
LIBERTARIAN ↔ AUTHORITARIAN: One
of the most common responses I received from Republicans argued that
the party could be divided between authoritarians (who tend to gravitate
toward Trump) and libertarians (who are generally repelled by his
strong-man instincts). In an email that was typical of several I
received, Aaron L. M. Goodwin, from California, wrote:
I grew up in a pretty conservative household. We were home-schooled
Mormons. We listened to conservative talk radio. I was the only 10 year
old I knew of who loved to watch C-Span. These days I feel completely
alienated from the GOP. But, I don't feel like I'm the one who sold out.
So where does that leave me?
I believe the conservative/liberal spectrum has been overtaken by one
for democratic/authoritarian ... Most of the Republicans I still feel
some kinship with are from a multitude of ideologies, but they share an
ideology based on classical liberal democracy. We all share a
deep-seeded suspicion of rule by power, and I believe, are closer to the
original intent of our founding documents.
GRIEVANCE-MOTIVATED ↔ PHILOSOPHICALLY MOTIVATED: Liz
Mair, a libertarian-leaning GOP strategist, wrote that she’s been
convinced after “300 gazillion conversations with all sorts of
conservatives”—including a range of lawmakers, writers, pundits,
candidates, and grassroots-level activists—that the biggest division
within the party is one that separates Fox News-a-holics driven by
tribal grievance from people who have some kind of philosophically
rooted belief system:
I honestly think the split in
conservatism comes more down to philosophy versus identity politics than
anything. Are you opposed to things on philosophical or tribal grounds?
Are you a believer of a member of our clan? (Said in the Scottish
sense) ...
I bet if you polled Trump primary
voters and asked them what was the bigger problem—insufficiently limited
government or transgender Muslim feminists being celebrated at the
Oscars, a big majority would say the latter.
ANTI-ESTABLISHMENT ↔ ESTABLISHMENT: The
outsider/insider trope is well-worn in contemporary conservative
politics—so much so that you could argue the terms have lost their
meaning. But based on the emails I received, many Republicans (on both
ends of the spectrum) still view the party through that lens. On one end
are people who respect existing political institutions, and believe in
conforming to their norms and using the system to advance their agenda.
On other end of this spectrum are people who believe the establishment
is hopelessly corrupt and ineffectual, and that it should be
circumvented whenever possible.
The
flaw in this formulation, it seems to me, is that virtually every
Republican who has entered Congress over the past eight years started
out on the anti-establishment end of the spectrum, and then
slid—involuntarily, perhaps, but inevitably—toward the establishment
end. That’s because, as Stephen Spiker from Virginia emailed, once you
run for office and win, you necessarily become a part of the system, an
insider:
I see many colleagues in the party taken in by the "establishment vs
anti-establishment" spectrum. Essentially populism, as the
anti-establishment folks are "burn it down" because they don't feel
represented and want a fighter. That lead to Dave Brat winning in 2014,
and Trump winning in 2016.
Now that its Trump vs Brat, you're going to see the inherent decay in
this school of thought: the anti-establishment crowd turning on their
former heroes like Dave Brat (as they turned on Cantor previously). He's
in Congress, he's an insider, he's standing in the way, etc.
It will eventually turn on Trump as well, as he falls short on goal
after goal. When it happens (as in, before or after Trump is out of
office) is always dependent on having the right person run at the right
time on the right message, but it will happen.
Most notable about the anti-establishment position is that there's no
consistent end game or policy goal. It exists for the sake of itself.
That's what frustrates folks who actually have firm ideological stances.
ABSOLUTISTS ↔ DEALMAKERS: Many of the
most high-profile intra-party battles in recent years have been fought
not over ideas, but tactics and a willingness to compromise. While
Republicans in Washington were essentially unanimous in their opposition
to President Obama’s agenda, they differed—at least at first—over
whether they should cut deals at the legislative bargaining table, or,
say, shut the government down until they got exactly what they wanted.
The absolutists largely won out during the Obama presidency—but what
about now?
On one end of this spectrum are people like the Freedom
Caucus purists from whom it is all but impossible to extract
concessions; on the other are the dealmakers who will compromise
virtually anything to get some kind of legislation passed.
Several Republicans who wrote to me were, I think, circling this idea, which my colleague Conor Friedersdorf recently articulated:
Do populist Republicans want a federal government where politicians
stand on principle and refuse to compromise? Or do they want a
pragmatist to make fabulous deals?
… Is a GOP House member more likely to be punished in a primary for
thwarting a Donald Trump deal … or compromising to make a deal happen?
Were I the political consultant for an ambitious primary candidate in a
safe Republican district, I can imagine a successful challenge
regardless of what course the incumbent chose, voters having been primed
to respond to either critique.
OPEN/TOLERANT ↔ NATIVIST/RACIST: This
is the probably the most provocative construct that was proposed, but it
was also a popular one. For many Trump-averse Republicans, one of the
biggest perceived differences between themselves and hardcore Trump fans
is attitudes toward racial minorities and foreign immigrants. The
alt-right dominates one end of the spectrum—and they place themselves on
the polar opposite end.
Granted, this spectrum was not proposed
to me by any Trump supporters, and no doubt many of them would strongly
disagree with this categorization. But there’s no question it’s one of
the defining debates inside the party right now. Evan McMullin, a
conservative who ran for president last year under the #NeverTrump
banner, was quoted saying that racism is the single biggest problem with the party today.
* * *
This
is, of course, by no means a comprehensive list of the divisions within
the GOP. For example, one of the most talked-about conflicts to emerge
in the past year has been between “nationalism” and “globalism.” But
despite efforts by Steve Bannon and other Trump advisers to frame the
ideological debate that way, very few GOP voters—at least none who wrote
to me—identify as “globalists.” Instead, these new spectrums represent a
few of the ways in which Republicans—eager to escape the disorder and
confusion of the Trump era—are categorizing themselves and each other.
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