By Leo W. Gerard
Confronted with a dire situation, a world power last week took strong action to secure its domestic jobs and manufacturing.
That was China. Not the United States.
China
diminished the value of its currency. This gave its exporting
industries a boost while simultaneously blocking imports. The move
protected the Asian giant’s manufacturers and its workers’ jobs.
Currency
manipulation violates free market principles, but for China, doing it
makes sense. The nation’s economy is cooling. Its stock market just crashed, and its economic powerhouse – exports – declined a substantial 8.3 percent in July – down to $195 billion from $213 billion
the previous July. This potent action by a major economic competitor
raises the question of when the United States government is going to
stop pretending currency manipulation doesn’t exist.
When will the
United States take the necessary action to protect its industry,
including manufacturing essential to national defense, as well as the
good, family-supporting jobs of millions of manufacturing workers?
While China lowered the value of its currency on three consecutive days last week, for a total of 4.4 percent, the largest decline in two decades, a respected Washington think tank, the Economic Policy Institute, released a report detailing exactly how the United States lost 5 million manufacturing jobs since 2000.
The report, “Manufacturing Job Loss: Trade, Not Productivity is the Culprit,”
clearly links massive trade deficits to closed American factories and
killed American jobs. U.S. manufacturers lost ground to foreign
competitors whose nations facilitated violation of international trade
rules. China is a particular culprit. My union, the United Steelworkers,
has won trade case after trade case over the past decade, securing
sanctions called duties that are charged on imported goods to counteract
the economic effect of violations.
In the most recent case the
USW won, the U.S. International Trade Commission (ITC) finalized duties
in July on illegally subsidized Chinese tires dumped into the U.S.
market. The recent history of such sanctions on tires illustrates how
relentless the Chinese government is in protecting its workers.
Shortly
after President Obama took office, the USW filed a complaint about
illegally-subsidized, Chinese-made tires dumped into the U.S. market.
The Obama administration imposed duties on Chinese tire imports from
September 2009 to September 2012.
Immediately after the tariffs
ended, Chinese companies flooded the U.S. market with improperly
subsidized tires again, threatening U.S. tire plants and jobs. So the
USW filed the second complaint.
Though the USW workers won the
second case as well, the process is too costly and too time consuming.
Sometimes factories and thousands of jobs are permanently lost before a
case is decided in workers’ favor. This has happened to U.S. tire,
paper, auto parts and steel workers.
In addition, the process is
flawed because it forbids consideration of currency manipulation – the
device China used last week to support its export industries.
By
reducing the value of its currency, China, in effect, gave its export
industries discount coupons, enabling them to sell goods more cheaply
overseas without doing anything differently or better.
Simultaneously,
China marked up the price of all imports into the country. American and
European exporters did nothing bad or wrong, but now their products will
cost more in China.
Chinese officials have contended that the
devaluation, which came on the heels of the bad news about its July
exports, wasn’t deliberate. They say it reflected bad market conditions
and note that groups like the International Monetary Fund have been pushing China to make its currency more market based.
Right.
Sure. And it was nothing more than a coincidence that it occurred just
as China wanted to increase exports. And it was simply serendipity that
in just three days, “market conditions” wiped out four years of tiny,
painfully incremental increases in the currency’s value.
If the
value of the currency truly is market based and not controlled by the
government, then as Chinese exports rise, the value should increase.
That would eliminate the artificial discount China just awarded its
exported goods. Based on past history, that is not likely to happen. So
what China really is saying is that its currency is market based when
the value is declining but not when it rises.
China did what it
felt was right for its people, its industry and its economy. The country
hit a rough spot this year. Though its economy is expected to grow by 7
percent, that would be the slowest rate in six years. Its housing prices fell 9.8 percent in June. Car sales dropped 7 percent
in July, the largest decline since the Great Recession. Over the past
several months, the Chinese government has intervened repeatedly to try
to stop a massive stock market crash that began in June.
In the meantime, the
nation’s factories that make products like tires, auto parts, steel and
paper continue to operate full speed ahead and ship the excess overseas.
As a result, for example, the international market is flooded with under-priced Chinese steel, threatening American steel mills and tens of thousands of American steelworkers’ jobs.
This is bad for the U.S. economy. The U.S. trade deficit in manufactured goods rose 15.7 percent
– by $25.7 billion – in the first quarter as imports increased and
exports slipped. In the first half of this year, the trade deficit with China rose 9.8 percent, a total of $15 billion.
As
EPI points out, that means more U.S. factories closed and U.S. jobs
lost. If China had bombed thousands of U.S. factories over the past
decade, America would respond. But the nation has done virtually nothing
about thousands of factories closed by trade violations.
The
United States could take two steps immediately to counter the
ill-effects of currency manipulation. Congress could pass and President
Obama could sign a proposed customs enforcement bill.
It would classify deliberate currency undervaluation as an illegal
export subsidy. Then the manipulation could be countered with duties on
the imported products.
The second step would be to include sanctions for currency manipulation in the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade deal
that the administration is negotiating with 11 other Pacific Rim
countries. The deal doesn’t include China, but it could join later. The
deal does, however, include other countries notorious for currency
interventions.
American manufacturers and American workers demand rightful protection from predatory international trade practices.
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