MARIETTA, Ga. — This orderly swath of Atlanta suburbs was never
supposed to worry Republicans. They've had a lock on the congressional
seat since 1979, with a string of rock-ribbed conservatives such as Newt
Gingrich and Tom Price.
Then Donald Trump happened.
Now the GOP is in an unexpected scramble to prevent a politically
inexperienced millennial Democrat — unknown months ago — from turning
their longtime stronghold blue.
Party officials are filled with angst ahead of Tuesday's special
election in Georgia's 6th Congressional District to replace Price, who
vacated the seat to become Trump's Health and Human Services secretary.
After a scare for Republicans in Kansas last week, when a
congressional race got uncomfortably close in a district Trump had
dominated in the presidential election, the Georgia fight teeters on
becoming a full-blown crisis for a party that should be relishing its
recent success and consolidating power. A Democratic win here,
unthinkable weeks ago, is now a very real possibility. It would be
another indication that Democrats are not the only party hobbled by a
national identity crisis in the age of Trump.
"Nothing like this has ever happened before in Georgia," Charles
S. Bullock III, a University of Georgia political science professor,
said of the expensive free-for-all the race has become.
With Democratic donors nationwide rallying around 30-year-old Jon
Ossoff, the surprise front-runner has raised a staggering $8.3 million,
dwarfing contributions to all 11 of his Republican rivals combined.
For Democrats, the allure of the district stems from voter
uneasiness about Trump, who barely won here in November. By contrast,
Mitt Romney, the last GOP nominee, crushed Barack Obama by double
digits.
Ossoff is polling at about 40 percent, far beyond any of his
contenders in the open primary. That's largely because the GOP
candidates are splitting the vote.
But Ossoff is now within striking distance of winning the majority
required to avoid a runoff in June, which may be his best hope, since
many believe a two-candidate runoff would favor the Republican.
"Two or three months ago, nobody had a clue who this guy was," Bullock said.
As they lined up at polls last week for early voting, several
residents made clear they were viewing the race as a referendum on
Trump.
"The Trump administration is scary," said Jeffrey Chou, a
25 year old graduate student and Ossoff supporter voting for the first
time. "I don't like what they are doing. I felt it was important to come
out and send a message that we don't support it."
He was joined in line by a 60-year-old nurse who voted for Price
in the past but said all the "insanity" at the White House had driven
her to vote Democratic this time. Arriving soon after was a 38-year-old
patent agent trainee who hadn't volunteered for a political campaign
since college but said Trump's behavior pushed her to canvass for
Ossoff. A physician in his 60s who said he had worked with Price
professionally and voted for him declared he would cast a ballot for
Ossoff to "stick it in the eyes of Trump."
"You are seeing the liberals demonstrating their total disgust for
Donald Trump," said Max Wagerman, 52, a GOP loyalist who boasted of
living in the same subdivision as Gingrich. "They've got all the juice
now. They have the organization. Republicans here are just too lazy, and
the liberals are going to get this one."
With momentum on his side, Ossoff is now everywhere: omnipresent
in TV ads, his face plastered on lawn signs and car bumper stickers,
talked up by the thousands of volunteers — many from out of state —
knocking on doors and calling voters.
Desire by Democrats to land an electoral blow against Trump is so
intense that the party is showing uncharacteristic discipline in a messy
race with 18 candidates. It quickly rallied behind Ossoff, with liberal
bloggers setting in motion a Bernie Sanders-style fundraising operation
that has resulted in a frenzy of small-dollar donations, the largest
number of which are coming not from Georgia but California.
Ossoff is no Bernie Sanders. He is a cautious, scripted moderate
who spends much less time on the campaign trail whipping up rage against
Trump than carefully calculating remarks that avoid offending the
area's upscale suburban electorate.
"Folks here are excited now for fresh leadership presenting a
substantive message about local economic development and talking about
core values," he said at his Marietta campaign office, just before a
crowded candidate forum where Ossoff was the only one who ended some of
his answers without using the full minute allotted. "They are tired of
partisan politics."
But partisan politics is what they are getting. First, there is
his deluge of outside cash. Republican groups have countered by pouring
millions of dollars into ads attacking Ossoff as a political neophyte
aligned with rioting protesters. One even made ominous insinuations
about Ossoff's past work as a filmmaker for cable channel Al-Jazeera.
Republicans are focusing their attacks on one another. They are
slugging it out for what they hope will be a spot on the runoff ballot
against Ossoff. The intensity of their attacks lay bare how much Trump
has complicated Republican politics.
Establishment favorite Karen Handel, the former Georgia secretary
of state, has watched her strong lead diminish amid an assault from the
conservative anti-tax group Club for Growth and others who question her
ideological purity. One ad depicts her as a stumbling elephant in
pearls; others accuse the fiscal conservative of recklessly spending tax
dollars.
"All you need to know about this district is Mitt Romney won it by
22 points and Trump won it by 1 { points," said GOP pollster Whit
Ayres, who is working as a consultant for Handel. "This defines the kind
of upscale suburban district where Trump struggled. Karen is the type
of person this district has tended to support."
One Trump loyalist who threatens to overtake her is Bob Gray, a
telecom executive backed by the Club for Growth. He dismissed as hype
the chatter that the local electorate is so uneasy with Trump that it
could go blue. "I don't think it's in the cards," Gray said. "This is a
conservative seat. Let's be real: Newt Gingrich, Tom Price. The district
hasn't changed that much."
Gray stars in his own not-so-subtle TV ad wearing a pair of
vibrant camouflage waders and fueling a giant motorized pump, which he
then uses to "drain the swamp" — a nod to Trump's catchphrase.
Many of the leading candidates chafed when asked whether the race had become a referendum on Trump.
Said Judson Hill, an anti-tax advocate and GOP candidate: "Donald Trump is not on the ballot here."
But as residents stood in line a few miles away to cast ballots in
early voting, it was undeniable that Trump was on their minds.
