By Egberto Willies
There was a very good discussion on ThisWeek that really should be heeded.
Supporters of Hillary Clinton are likely to be upset but instead must be warned
that she is definitely not a shoo-in.
"To me this is not a campaign problem," said Matthew Dowd. "This is a
candidate problem. If you take a look at the data on her over time, the place
where she drops is when she enters the national scene as a candidate. Every time
she enters the national scene as a candidate she falls in the polls.
That's just
what happened this year. If you just take a look at this. Ignore tactics. Ignore
all these things. Take a look at her numbers. And you look at her numbers and
you look at the dynamics of the country, where the country thinks we are off on
the wrong track, where the country wants a change in policy from Obama, and the
President's job approval is in the forties. All of those dynamics say she is
unelectable. Can she win? Yes. But she can only win if the Republicans nominate
an equally unelectable candidate or she disqualifies herself."
Matthew Dowd omitted causality. Her polls likely drop whenever she gets on
the national scene because that is when she is attacked from an effective GOP
misinformation machine. It is not hard to forget that in the early years of the
Obama administration when her poll numbers were high, she was being praised by
Republicans as a method to diss the President. Now that she is running there
attacks are directly against her. The polls reflect that.
Pundit on ThisWeek explains why Hillary Clinton... by ewillies
That said, in the last several years the Clintons did very little to
inoculate themselves from the fire they knew would come if she ran for
president. While it is likely that everything they did is legal, their
methods may have left the door open for the false narrative being waged
against Hillary Clinton now. If the Republicans nominate a good
candidate and Hillary Clinton is the Democratic nominee, Matthew Dowd is
absolutely correct.
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